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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1vtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (888–469, n=1357)46% (269–313, n=582)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$4.2M$73K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #149PM monthly #291
Sides with the consensus62% (221 of 358 open)no open consensus position74% (34 of 46 open)67% (10 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%45% of 531 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)42% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)17% (won 33% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)13% (won 78% of 69)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)28% (won 99% of 151)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.