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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | machbut | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 59% (22–15, n=37) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $5.3M | $30K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #868 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (266 of 379 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 31 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 0% of 3) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 16% (won 40% of 5) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 16% (won 60% of 5) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 58% (won 94% of 18) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | machbut | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $64K | Yes $1.0M |