Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpTMingchan
Record (consensus markets)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)54% (19–16, n=35)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$306
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #552
Sides with the consensus70% (230 of 330 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +51 pts n=17, ROI +51%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 17 at avg 49¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)47% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)53% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpTMingchan
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.7KUnder $11K
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Grizzlies $833Thunder $11K
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $1.1KThunder $9.7K
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $2576ers $4.3K
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.3KUnder $6
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $121Under $10K
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $311Under $9.0K