PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FeedTheBigBird0xdc27...afdd9atradecraftRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (30–29, n=59)59% (1163–816, n=1979)49% (1984–2074, n=4058)49% (7025–7367, n=14392)
Consensus PnL$6.5K$29K$914K$13.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904PM monthly #653PM monthly #271Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position40% (4 of 10 open)82% (14 of 17 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +17 pts n=739, ROI +19%
  • Tennis +7 pts n=1535, ROI +4%
  • NFL +11 pts n=103, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=515, ROI +2%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 29 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%71% of 743 at avg 54¢, ROI +19%57% of 2295 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%17% (won 23% of 126)31% (won 10% of 712)10% (won 49% of 2167)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 90% of 10)21% (won 60% of 153)17% (won 46% of 401)22% (won 92% of 4547)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 100% of 18)40% (won 84% of 294)18% (won 77% of 421)36% (won 98% of 7502)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 95% of 170)33% (won 96% of 761)31% (won 100% of 6514)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFeedTheBigBird0xdc27...afdd9atradecraftRN1
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang
opposite sides · consensus Tereza Valentova
——Shuai Zhang $7Tereza Valentova $7.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $82No $2.4K
Brest: Pierre Delage vs Niels McDonald
opposite sides · consensus Niels McDonald
——Pierre Delage $5Niels McDonald $32