PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FeedTheBigBird0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592NiNo999wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Record (consensus markets)51% (30–29, n=59)92% (701–62, n=763)89% (446–56, n=502)95% (1938–95, n=2033)
Consensus PnL$6.5K$14.4M$9.5M$36.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904was PM monthly #999was PM monthly #985PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 29 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%100% of 1652 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢0%2% (won 100% of 14)7% (won 81% of 37)1% (won 100% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 90% of 10)15% (won 97% of 113)39% (won 85% of 197)41% (won 100% of 670)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 100% of 18)65% (won 99% of 477)49% (won 94% of 244)49% (won 100% of 805)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 1)17% (won 100% of 127)5% (won 96% of 24)9% (won 100% of 153)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.