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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FeedTheBigBird | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | tradecraft | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (30–29, n=59) | 46% (119–138, n=257) | 49% (1984–2074, n=4058) | 49% (7025–7367, n=14392) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.5K | $18.7M | $914K | $13.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #904 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #271 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 27% (3 of 11 open) | 82% (14 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −8 pts, n=259 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 29 at avg 53¢, ROI +46% | 50% of 1403 at avg 50¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 2295 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% (won 0% of 5) | 31% (won 10% of 712) | 10% (won 49% of 2167) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 90% of 10) | 41% (won 48% of 575) | 17% (won 46% of 401) | 22% (won 92% of 4547) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 100% of 18) | 58% (won 51% of 819) | 18% (won 77% of 421) | 36% (won 98% of 7502) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 96% of 761) | 31% (won 100% of 6514) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FeedTheBigBird | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | tradecraft | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang opposite sides · consensus Tereza Valentova | — | — | Shuai Zhang $7 | Tereza Valentova $7.3K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $82 | No $2.4K |
| Brest: Pierre Delage vs Niels McDonald opposite sides · consensus Niels McDonald | — | — | Pierre Delage $5 | Niels McDonald $32 |