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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ezmoneyfornowfantasy7788nigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)50% (15–15, n=30)55% (12–10, n=22)54% (312–261, n=573)57% (37–28, n=65)
Consensus PnL$20K$576K$425K$440K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #952PM monthly #34PM monthly #135PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (56 of 112 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won89% of 18 at avg 44¢, ROI +36%100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 100% of 1)14% (won 32% of 72)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢78% (won 93% of 14)45% (won 100% of 5)24% (won 55% of 121)32% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 75% of 4)36% (won 100% of 4)44% (won 69% of 222)43% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up0%9% (won 100% of 1)18% (won 98% of 89)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEzmoneyfornowfantasy7788nigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $94K
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $337KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $211K