PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Excession6RN100gringo00omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)94% (204–13, n=217)48% (11699–12471, n=24170)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (13183–13335, n=26518)
Consensus PnL$83K$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #988Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #15
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)69% (9 of 13 open)no open consensus position20% (1 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10018 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2452)0%8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5319)0%21% (won 85% of 2128)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8623)100% (won 86% of 7)38% (won 94% of 3835)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7308)0%32% (won 99% of 3219)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketExcession6RN100gringo00omnibus-076daa
Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Yulia Putintseva
—Yulia Putintseva $94K—Maria Sakkari $737
Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Carl Overbeck
opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck
—Carl Overbeck $2.3K—Yaroslav Demin $226