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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| End123 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (268–144, n=412) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | -$31K | $5.6M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #774 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #150 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 64% (127 of 200 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −18 pts, n=18 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 410 at avg 63¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 11% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 40% of 42) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 62% of 128) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 45% (won 86% of 184) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | End123 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $234K | No $6.5K |