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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| EMCSQ | dzsibenaja | ColdW | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (27–51, n=78) | 87% (137–20, n=157) | 66% (1754–900, n=2654) | 67% (476–237, n=713) |
| Consensus PnL | $538 | $130K | $234K | $10.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #533 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (17 of 17 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 79% (50 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=308 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 89% of 195 at avg 85¢, ROI +3% | 58% of 2425 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 0% of 10) | 22% (won 12% of 542) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 2% (won 0% of 4) | 20% (won 42% of 483) | 34% (won 98% of 169) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 7% (won 92% of 13) | 22% (won 63% of 525) | 34% (won 99% of 170) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 86% (won 96% of 168) | 36% (won 92% of 875) | 21% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | EMCSQ | dzsibenaja | ColdW | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $17K | — | No $118K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.0K | — | Yes $265K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $5.6K | — | No $125K |