PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQ88MBonereaperbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)no settled market42% (807–1092, n=1899)58% (18745–13551, n=32296)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL—$129K$518K$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533was PM monthly #629PM monthly #278was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +40 pts n=127, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +31 pts n=53141, ROI +22%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Mentions −14 pts, n=12—NBA −6 pts, n=91
Settled positions, side won74% of 677 at avg 67¢, ROI +11%55% of 1413 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%99% of 53271 at avg 67¢, ROI +22%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 20% of 164)27% (won 18% of 380)4% (won 91% of 2393)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 62% of 39)36% (won 58% of 509)15% (won 96% of 8234)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 72% of 64)30% (won 76% of 422)33% (won 99% of 17372)54% (won 52% of 114)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 97% of 410)7% (won 88% of 102)47% (won 100% of 25272)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.