PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQ0x50f7BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (51804–41599, n=93403)45% (501–606, n=1107)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL—$458K$12.1M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533PM monthly #393PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (25 of 34 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +7 pts n=44376, ROI +2%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won74% of 677 at avg 67¢, ROI +11%92% of 44376 at avg 85¢, ROI +2%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 20% of 164)10% (won 24% of 4613)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 62% of 39)3% (won 100% of 1136)35% (won 98% of 181)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 72% of 64)6% (won 100% of 2756)34% (won 99% of 176)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 97% of 410)81% (won 100% of 35871)20% (won 100% of 105)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.