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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8ndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)13% (86–600, n=686)63% (1100–635, n=1735)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$854$4.6M$3.7M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #791PM monthly #110PM monthly #39PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)71% (67 of 95 open)no open consensus position51% (22 of 43 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won—66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketE100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8ndb1primmRN1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $35——Over $29