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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlkeeptheblueflagflyinghighHomeRunHazardrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18googleplay
| DanielsDixon | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (4–7, n=11) | 55% (12–10, n=22) | 54% (312–261, n=573) |
| Consensus PnL | -$765 | $576K | $425K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #884 | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #135 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (8 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (50 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 8 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 32% of 72) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 100% of 1) | 45% (won 100% of 5) | 24% (won 55% of 121) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 88% (won 100% of 7) | 36% (won 100% of 4) | 44% (won 69% of 222) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 98% of 89) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DanielsDixon | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $510 | — | Under $411 |
| Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5) same side · consensus Liechtenstein | Azerbaijan $560 | — | Azerbaijan $10 |