PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Da3vilomnibus-076daaRN100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (13566–13694, n=27260)48% (12083–12906, n=24989)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #815PM monthly #15PM monthly #17 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won63% of 16 at avg 29¢, ROI +26%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢44% (won 71% of 7)8% (won 59% of 860)10% (won 56% of 2478)0%
Entries 30–50¢56% (won 56% of 9)21% (won 86% of 2252)22% (won 94% of 5361)0%
Entries 50–70¢0%39% (won 94% of 4102)36% (won 99% of 8705)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up0%32% (won 99% of 3425)31% (won 100% of 7425)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDa3vilomnibus-076daaRN100gringo00
Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong
same side · consensus Alibek Kachmazov
—Alibek Kachmazov $7Alibek Kachmazov $3—