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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CustomTrader | fortuneking | Paul973973 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 59% (538–379, n=917) | 92% (896–81, n=977) | 49% (7116–7479, n=14595) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $91K | $3.2K | $13.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #841 | was PM monthly #1000 | was PM monthly #792 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 85% (17 of 20 open) | 51% (83 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports ±0 pts, n=92 | Finance −1 pts, n=38 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 57% of 924 at avg 53¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 901 at avg 94¢, ROI +3% | 93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 23% (won 20% of 214) | 1% (won 40% of 5) | 10% (won 52% of 2020) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 21% (won 45% of 194) | 1% (won 50% of 6) | 22% (won 93% of 4355) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 23% (won 66% of 212) | 1% (won 100% of 5) | 37% (won 99% of 7260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 33% (won 86% of 304) | 98% (won 99% of 885) | 31% (won 100% of 5998) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CustomTrader | fortuneking | Paul973973 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | — | — | Lorenzo Musetti $994 | Lorenzo Musetti $756 |