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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | melganis | 0010001000001100 | texaskid | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (30–19, n=49) | 79% (1034–278, n=1312) | 81% (1284–298, n=1582) | 66% (367–187, n=554) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $56K | $127K | $7.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #236 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #799 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 71% (29 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=71 | NBA −2 pts, n=70 | College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29 |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2% | 87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10% | 75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 20% (won 7% of 324) | 11% (won 45% of 155) | 1% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 41% of 99) | 11% (won 72% of 159) | 26% (won 68% of 148) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 8% (won 70% of 125) | 16% (won 89% of 232) | 69% (won 78% of 392) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 67% (won 97% of 1112) | 63% (won 97% of 911) | 4% (won 87% of 23) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contestable-Parfait | melganis | 0010001000001100 | texaskid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | No $184 | — | — |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $834 | Yes $26 | — | — |