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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | lineth | thismonth | Bonereaper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (30–19, n=49) | 49% (215–220, n=435) | 63% (421–246, n=667) | 86% (43246–6849, n=50095) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $91K | $75K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #117 | PM monthly #835 | was PM monthly #676 | PM monthly #274 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 44% (11 of 25 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17% | 63% of 618 at avg 35¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 41% (won 29% of 177) | 43% (won 40% of 266) | 4% (won 85% of 1370) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 72% of 58) | 33% (won 72% of 205) | 16% (won 95% of 5840) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 16% (won 84% of 67) | 18% (won 92% of 110) | 35% (won 98% of 12695) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 30% (won 94% of 127) | 6% (won 95% of 37) | 46% (won 100% of 16711) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contestable-Parfait | lineth | thismonth | Bonereaper |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | No $429 | — | — |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $671 | No $504 | — | — |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $965 | Yes $47 | — | — |