← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Cannae | gmpm2 | Hauchn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | — | $256K | $117K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #143 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 50% (7 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −17 pts, n=33 | Finance −1 pts, n=121 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10423 at avg 61¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 527 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 10% of 122 at avg 11¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 99% of 913) | 4% (won 32% of 22) | 89% (won 2% of 108) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 2187) | 31% (won 45% of 163) | 6% (won 43% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 100% of 3058) | 46% (won 57% of 244) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 4265) | 19% (won 85% of 98) | 5% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.