PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CORGIIBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)63% (375–222, n=597)45% (501–606, n=1107)56% (100–79, n=179)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL$4.4M$12.1M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #126PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=91
Settled positions, side won98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 99% of 209)35% (won 98% of 181)26% (won 93% of 29)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 128)34% (won 99% of 176)42% (won 96% of 47)54% (won 52% of 114)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.