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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ByteBadger92gmpm2Hauchnkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)no settled market42% (44–60, n=104)
Consensus PnL—$255K$116K$117K
Tracked asPM monthly #897PM monthly #17PM monthly #143PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)0% (0 of 1 open)40% (6 of 15 open)54% (15 of 28 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +52 pts n=428, ROI +51%
  • NHL +44 pts n=75, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +43 pts n=87, ROI +48%
Weakest topic—NBA −17 pts, n=33Finance −1 pts, n=121—
Settled positions, side won—57% of 527 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%10% of 122 at avg 11¢, ROI −2%100% of 691 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 32% of 22)89% (won 2% of 108)2% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 45% of 163)6% (won 43% of 7)49% (won 100% of 338)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 57% of 244)1% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 100% of 278)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 85% of 98)5% (won 100% of 6)9% (won 100% of 59)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketByteBadger92gmpm2Hauchnkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $210—Over $569