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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ByteBadger92e46m3gmpm2SineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)no settled market17% (156–789, n=945)100% (1–0, n=1)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL—$536K$256K$111K
Tracked asPM monthly #897PM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)73% (322 of 439 open)0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17NBA −17 pts, n=33—
Settled positions, side won—62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%57% of 527 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%83% of 1141 at avg 54¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 18% of 2197)4% (won 32% of 22)5% (won 62% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢—7% (won 53% of 397)31% (won 45% of 163)35% (won 75% of 397)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 71% of 531)46% (won 57% of 244)43% (won 88% of 492)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 97% of 2679)19% (won 85% of 98)17% (won 95% of 191)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.