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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaprimmRaichu
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (15434–15508, n=30942)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)92% (12–1, n=13)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.1M$3.6M$214K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #60PM monthly #46PM monthly #443
Sides with the consensus76% (26 of 34 open)60% (94 of 157 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%92% of 12 at avg 86¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)100% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaprimmRaichu
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0KYes $154——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278KYes $3——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $117——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $215——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4KYes $64——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $33——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $41——