← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | sainttroplay | skadii | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | no settled market | 47% (169–194, n=363) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | — | -$101K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | — | was PM monthly #656 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (39 of 57 open) | 71% (25 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 86% (6 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 47% of 350 at avg 46¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% | 27% (won 15% of 95) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 31% (won 42% of 109) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 25% (won 65% of 89) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% | 16% (won 79% of 57) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.