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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1pvc975
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (990–573, n=1563)99% (17435–260, n=17695)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.2M$87K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #104was PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)73% (81 of 111 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139Crypto ±0 pts, n=286
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 10860 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)1% (won 10% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)0% (won 82% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)0% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)99% (won 100% of 10766)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1pvc975
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7Yes $993K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $335K—