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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 53% (2583–2302, n=4885) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $4.8M | $3.6M | $8.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #47 | was PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 74% (62 of 84 open) | 71% (12 of 17 open) | 56% (49 of 87 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 98% of 1044 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 2% (won 96% of 25) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 32% (won 98% of 337) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 51% (won 98% of 533) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 14% (won 97% of 149) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | rayvanmechelen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | No $337K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $280K | Yes $11K | — | — |