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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1RanaAmariPredictsSlavaUkraini
Record (consensus markets)97% (441–15, n=456)57% (293–219, n=512)no settled market78% (107–31, n=138)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$4.6M—$960K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #158PM monthly #901PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensus76% (35 of 46 open)73% (65 of 89 open)no open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=71——
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%—75% of 138 at avg 65¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)19% (won 10% of 96)—19% (won 23% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)21% (won 35% of 105)—12% (won 59% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)27% (won 54% of 132)—15% (won 81% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)33% (won 91% of 163)—54% (won 96% of 74)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1RanaAmariPredictsSlavaUkraini
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $425KNo $350K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306KYes $12K——