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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Newshound | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 65% (876–462, n=1338) | 71% (688–278, n=966) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | $65K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #888 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (30 of 44 open) | 79% (19 of 24 open) | 41% (9 of 22 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 72% of 968 at avg 60¢, ROI +9% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 23% (won 23% of 218) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 13% (won 64% of 122) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 17% (won 76% of 169) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 47% (won 95% of 459) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Newshound | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $31K | — | Yes $75 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $311 | — | No $499 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $4.2K | — | Yes $301 | — |