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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | kinderSman | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 99% (407–6, n=413) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $159K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #790 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (45 of 67 open) | 100% (14 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Tech −2 pts, n=29 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 396 at avg 98¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 1% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 99% (won 100% of 392) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | kinderSman |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $187K | Yes $4.9K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $77K | No $12K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.0K | Yes $115 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | No $397 |