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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | pizzabillgates | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (3–3, n=6) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | -$75K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #662 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (27 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 91% (31 of 34 open) | 38% (3 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 50% of 8 at avg 40¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 50% (won 0% of 4) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 0% | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 38% (won 100% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | pizzabillgates | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | — | Ravens $4 |