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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daazwaaan
Record (consensus markets)45% (549–663, n=1212)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (14961–15011, n=29972)52% (117–106, n=223)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$5.6M$3.0M$501
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #60was PM monthly #257
Sides with the consensus69% (29 of 42 open)no open consensus position58% (81 of 139 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———Crypto −5 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%53% of 126 at avg 52¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 899)21% (won 4% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2444)21% (won 19% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)39% (won 95% of 4418)29% (won 75% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 99% of 3709)30% (won 89% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daazwaaan
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.9K—Yes $1.9K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $802—Yes $149—
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—Yes $71K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.2K—Yes $418—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $69—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—