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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daatestest10
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15597–15691, n=31288)39% (7–11, n=18)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$3.1M$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #140PM monthly #414
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position54% (79 of 145 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 8 at avg 67¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)25% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)63% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daatestest10
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $169—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25K—Yes $131—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18K—Yes $258—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2K—Yes $60—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—