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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677nehaip
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)no settled market
Consensus PnL$11.0M$5.6M$499
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #722
Sides with the consensus51% (58 of 113 open)no open consensus position76% (16 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)—
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677nehaip
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $125K—Yes $1.4K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $52K—Yes $9.7K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $43K—No $5.2K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $33K—No $3.4K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $236K—Yes $7.3K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $36K—Yes $2.5K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22K—No $657
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.2K—Yes $5.7K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $607—No $6.2K