← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | nehaip | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $5.6M | $499 |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #722 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (43 of 67 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (15 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | nehaip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $125K | — | Yes $1.6K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $33K | — | No $3.4K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.0K | — | Yes $12K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.2K | — | No $5.2K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $36K | — | Yes $2.5K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $22K | — | No $657 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.2K | — | Yes $5.9K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $607 | — | No $8.1K |