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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | nehaip | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (876–462, n=1338) | 63% (5–3, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.6M | $4.2M | $931 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #576 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (29 of 43 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (19 of 24 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | nehaip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.2K | — | — | No $4.8K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $31K | — | — | No $929 |