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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | Pondermint | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 67% (423–206, n=629) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $3.2M | $173K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #389 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (81 of 111 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | MLB −2 pts, n=87 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 71% of 485 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 13% (won 11% of 63) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 11% (won 35% of 52) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 12% (won 63% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 65% (won 90% of 314) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | Pondermint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | Yes $993K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $80K | — | — | Yes $2.5K |