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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | OxPredict | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (304–264, n=568) | 53% (9–8, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $758K | $423K | $309K | -$3.6K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #569 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (4 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (71 of 103 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 163 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 60% of 15 at avg 47¢, ROI −12% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 100% of 48) | 20% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 67% (won 80% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | OxPredict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $71K | — | 76ers $4.7K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Raptors $13K | — | 76ers $11K | — |