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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (11439–14898, n=26337) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 45% (98–122, n=220) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.1M | $4.8M | $24K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #777 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 65% (20 of 31 open) | 73% (113 of 154 open) | 25% (2 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | — | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | — | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 14% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | — | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 8% (won 20% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | — | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 12% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | — | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 66% (won 95% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $18K | Yes $10 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $292K | — | Yes $11K | — |