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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026jdfngkdjfnfdndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)44% (48–62, n=110)64% (1101–632, n=1733)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M-$56K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #936PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)60% (6 of 10 open)no open consensus position73% (76 of 104 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +5 pts n=47, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=23, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NFL −11 pts, n=31NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%44% of 106 at avg 44¢, ROI −2%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 31% of 13)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)56% (won 39% of 59)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)32% (won 59% of 34)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)0%44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026jdfngkdjfnfdndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $425K——No $350K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $12K