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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ifyoulovemejoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)96% (291–13, n=304)32% (12–26, n=38)no settled marketno settled market
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$22K$972—
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #313PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus82% (32 of 39 open)50% (4 of 8 open)77% (55 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%——62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)——8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)——8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)——69% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)——15% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ifyoulovemejoseph00677
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $41K—Yes $1.6K—