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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankfantasy7788ferdinand2juice-fruit
Record (consensus markets)58% (22–16, n=38)56% (5–4, n=9)73% (202–76, n=278)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$837K$421K$1.8K$152K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #43was PM monthly #491PM monthly #31
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)0% (0 of 1 open)60% (160 of 268 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +9 pts n=13, ROI 0%
  • NHL +10 pts n=11, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NBA −1 pts, n=90—
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%39% of 175 at avg 39¢, ROI −1%100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59%
Entries under 30¢0%20% (won 100% of 1)49% (won 7% of 85)0%
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 13)20% (won 100% of 1)15% (won 37% of 27)100% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 100% of 9)60% (won 100% of 3)15% (won 70% of 27)0%
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)0%21% (won 92% of 36)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankfantasy7788ferdinand2juice-fruit
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Grizzlies $126K—Nuggets $102—
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $12K—Nuggets $56—
Spurs vs. Bulls
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $188K—Spurs $328—
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Lakers $3.3K—Lakers $25—
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $468—Grizzlies $26—
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Grizzlies $2—Grizzlies $2—