Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankdubdubdub2ndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)100% (7–0, n=7)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$405K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #92PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)no open consensus position74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 7 at avg 82¢, ROI +16%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)0%13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)0%20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)0%24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)100% (won 100% of 7)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankdubdubdub2ndb1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7—Yes $993K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K—No $335K