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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | denizz | RememberAmalek | Villson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | 73% (388–147, n=535) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $2.3M | $824K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #937 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (40 of 49 open) | 89% (24 of 27 open) | 55% (85 of 155 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | denizz | RememberAmalek | Villson |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $41K | — | Yes $75K | — |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $40K | Yes $549 | — |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $32K | No $6 | — |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $12K | Yes $115 | — |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.3K | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $28K | — | Yes $334 | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $10K | Yes $1.6K | — |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | No $4.8K | — |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.1K | No $1.1K | — |