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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | uprightuser | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) | 80% (233–60, n=293) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $14.8M | -$54K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | was PM monthly #529 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 61% (100 of 164 open) | 98% (42 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 55% of 306 at avg 54¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 36% (won 3% of 110) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 6% (won 24% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 8% (won 73% of 26) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 50% (won 93% of 153) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | uprightuser |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | Thunder $958 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $50 | Thunder $492 | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $450 | Raptors $37 | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $122 | Raptors $149 | — |