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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankLetsGoBirdsRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)50% (1–1, n=2)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$11.0M-$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #197PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (77 of 114 open)0% (0 of 2 open)63% (124 of 198 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)—10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)—22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)—36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)—32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankLetsGoBirdsRN1
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $183KNo $120K—