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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Kishen020 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 72% (125–49, n=174) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $27K | $4.2M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #617 | PM monthly #146 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 72% of 186 at avg 66¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 67% of 12) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 56% (won 63% of 104) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 37% (won 87% of 69) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Kishen020 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $642K | — | No $234K | — |