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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | JonasTheWolf | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (581–722, n=1303) | 67% (20–10, n=30) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | -$15K | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 19 at avg 74¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 11% (won 100% of 2) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 32% (won 100% of 6) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 58% (won 100% of 11) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | JonasTheWolf | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |