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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | JoeyAroyyOO | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 47% (71–81, n=152) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | -$28K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #347 | PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (34 of 51 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (25 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 60 at avg 49¢, ROI +53% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 53% (won 100% of 32) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 43% (won 100% of 26) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | JoeyAroyyOO | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | — | No $2.0M |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $56 | — | No $1.5M |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $7.5K | — | Yes $820K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | No $327K | — | Yes $1.7K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $241K | — | Yes $503K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $378K | — | Yes $118 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.4K | — | No $7.5K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | — | Yes $145 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $2 | — | No $35 |