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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | JamesAltucher | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 61% (98–62, n=160) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14355–15860, n=30215) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $18K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #531 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #26 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 71% (56 of 79 open) | 60% (26 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Elections −1 pts, n=101 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 38% of 228 at avg 36¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 56% (won 3% of 128) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 6% (won 43% of 14) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 8% (won 78% of 18) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 91% of 68) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | JamesAltucher | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |