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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | J-E-R | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $40K | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 88% (63 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (54 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | J-E-R | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $675 | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | — | No $337K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | Yes $2.3K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.3K | No $22 | — | — |